Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
20.95% ( 0.05) | 23.28% ( 0.16) | 55.77% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.29% ( -0.6) | 47.71% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( -0.56) | 69.91% ( 0.56) |
Jubilo Iwata Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.29) | 37.07% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.14% ( -0.29) | 73.86% ( 0.29) |
Kashima Antlers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( -0.29) | 16.94% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% ( -0.52) | 47.01% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 55.76% |
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