Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
50.48% ( 0.07)	27.86% ( -0.07)	21.66% ( -0)

Both teams to score 40.73% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.61% (

0.2)

63.39% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.25% (

0.14)

82.75% (

-0.14)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.13)

25.47% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69% (

0.17)

60.31% (

-0.16)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.65% (

0.11)

45.36% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.79% (

0.09)

81.21% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 50.47%

Jubilo Iwata 21.66%

Draw 27.85%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 15.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 50.47%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.66%