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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 2
Reysol

Yoshinaga (73'), Gonzalez (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Douglas (23'), Muto (45+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, August 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-6 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawKashiwa Reysol
25.46% (-0.038 -0.04) 25.96% (-0.868 -0.87) 48.58% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Both teams to score 49.4% (2.424 2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (3.168 3.17)54.11% (-3.172 -3.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (2.585 2.59)75.53% (-2.59 -2.59)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (1.712 1.71)36.43% (-1.714 -1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (1.69 1.69)73.22% (-1.694 -1.69)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.768 1.77)22.29% (-1.773 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.587 2.59)55.75% (-2.592 -2.59)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 25.46%
    Kashiwa Reysol 48.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Jubilo IwataDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.647 -0.65)
2-1 @ 6.21% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.46%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-1.058 -1.06)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.339 0.34)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.89 -0.89)
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 9.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.36 0.36)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.279 0.28)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.216 0.22)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, August 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-6 Urawa
Saturday, August 13 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-6 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, August 20 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-3 Hiroshima
Sunday, August 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Consadole
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League


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