Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
