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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 7, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
47.33% (-0.681 -0.68) 27.25% (0.133 0.13) 25.42% (0.546 0.55)
Both teams to score 45.76% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.19% (-0.108 -0.11)58.81% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)79.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.373 -0.37)24.9% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.521 -0.52)59.53% (0.52 0.52)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (0.433 0.43)39.06% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.402 0.4)75.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.33%
    Jubilo Iwata 25.42%
    Draw 27.25%
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.144 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 25.42%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, July 2 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League


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