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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
K’s Denki Stadium (Mito)

Kashima Antlers
3 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Suzuki (50', 62'), Cavric (66')
Suzuki (25'), Nakama (28'), Sugai (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fukuda (85')
Takahashi (13'), Okuno (76'), Okuno (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 3-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 27 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawShonan Bellmare
49.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 26.28% (-0.425 -0.43) 24.39% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 47.49% (1.649 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (1.893 1.89)56.1% (-1.893 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (1.511 1.51)77.17% (-1.511 -1.51)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (0.776 0.78)22.8% (-0.775 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (1.132 1.13)56.51% (-1.131 -1.13)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (1.532 1.53)38.48% (-1.533 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (1.433 1.43)75.23% (-1.433 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 49.32%
    Shonan Bellmare 24.39%
    Draw 26.28%
Kashima AntlersDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.66 -0.66)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.66 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.241 0.24)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.131 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 4-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 3-3 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League


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