Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
40.4% ( -0)	25.51%	34.09% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.7% (

-0.01)

48.3% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55% (

-0)

70.45% (

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

-0)

23.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

-0)

57.78% (

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

27.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0)

62.58% (

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 40.4%

Sagan Tosu 34.09%

Draw 25.5%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.4%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.09%