Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
Result | ||
Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
40.4% (![]() | 25.51% | 34.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.7% (![]() | 48.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.55% (![]() | 70.45% (![]() |
Shonan Bellmare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% (![]() | 23.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.22% (![]() | 57.78% (![]() |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% (![]() | 27.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% (![]() | 62.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.09% |
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