Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
44.69% ( -0.17)	26.19% ( 0.05)	29.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15% (

-0.13)

52.85% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

-0.11)

74.47% (

0.11)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-0.14)

23.56% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

-0.2)

57.61% (

0.21)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

0.03)

32.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

0.04)

69.38% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 44.68%

Shonan Bellmare 29.12%

Draw 26.19%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.68%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.12%