Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
