Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.