Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday.
Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
