Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 8.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
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