Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.