Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
36.24% ( -0.75)	26.5% ( -0.37)	37.25% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67% (

1.52)

52.32% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98% (

1.29)

74.01% (

-1.3)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

0.28)

27.81% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

0.37)

63.4% (

-0.37)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

1.38)

27.22% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

1.76)

62.64% (

-1.77)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 36.24%

Consadole Sapporo 37.25%

Draw 26.5%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.25%