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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 0-1 (8.07%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
22.76% ( 1.68) | 21.56% ( 1.01) | 55.68% ( -2.69) |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.23% ( -2.69) | 37.77% ( 2.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( -2.94) | 60.01% ( 2.94) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.07) | 29.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.09) | 65.89% ( 0.09) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -1.65) | 13.53% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.41% ( -3.41) | 40.59% ( 3.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.05% Total : 22.76% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.42)0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.34)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.26)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.65% Total : 55.68% |
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