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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 2
Sagan Tosu

Tachibanada (11'), Ienaga (61'), Yamada (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kubo (50'), Kiyotake (90' pen.)
Kim (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
64.18% (0.20200000000001 0.2) 18.95% (-0.126 -0.13) 16.87% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.325 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.72% (0.48699999999999 0.49)34.28% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.82% (0.547 0.55)56.18% (-0.543 -0.54)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (0.19 0.19)10.13% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.67% (0.42699999999999 0.43)33.33% (-0.424 -0.42)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.22499999999999 0.22)33.47% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.244 0.24)70.1% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 64.18%
    Sagan Tosu 16.87%
    Draw 18.95%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.95%
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 16.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-3 Yokohama
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 5-3 Sagan Tosu
Friday, August 16 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League


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