SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
64.18% ( 0.2) | 18.95% ( -0.13) | 16.87% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.49) | 34.28% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.82% ( 0.55) | 56.18% ( -0.54) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.87% ( 0.19) | 10.13% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.67% ( 0.43) | 33.33% ( -0.42) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.22) | 33.47% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( 0.24) | 70.1% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.28% Total : 64.18% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 16.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
