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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
5 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Erison (12' pen., 63'), Wakizaka (18'), Yamada (65', 73')
Marcinho (40'), Takai (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ota (87')
Kojima (11')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 22 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAlbirex Niigata
56.78% (-0.16 -0.16) 22.22% (0.099 0.1) 20.99% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (-0.374 -0.37)43.05% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (-0.371 -0.37)65.45% (0.366 0.37)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)14.96% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (-0.341 -0.34)43.38% (0.337 0.34)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)34.38% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-0.169 -0.17)71.09% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 56.78%
    Albirex Niigata 20.99%
    Draw 22.22%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAlbirex Niigata
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 20.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 22 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-3 Yokohama
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, September 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 17 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Monday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League


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