Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sagan Tosu
47.57% ( -1.48)	23.38% ( 0.32)	29.04% ( 1.15)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.31% (

-0.74)

40.68% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.93% (

-0.76)

63.07% (

0.76)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.83)

17.35% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

-1.47)

47.74% (

1.48)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

0.41)

26.65% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

0.54)

61.89% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 47.58%

Sagan Tosu 29.04%

Draw 23.39%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.97% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.04%