SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
69.12% ( 1.06) | 17.77% ( -0.42) | 13.12% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.47) | 36.83% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( 0.5) | 59.01% ( -0.5) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% ( 0.38) | 9.64% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.81% ( 0.88) | 32.2% ( -0.87) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( -0.63) | 39.97% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( -0.58) | 76.63% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.19% Total : 69.12% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.12% |
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