Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
62.55% ( -0)	20.83% ( -0.01)	16.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.09)

43.63% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

0.09)

66.03% (

-0.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

0.02)

13.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.75% (

0.06)

40.25% (

-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

0.07)

39.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

0.07)

76.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.55%

Sagan Tosu 16.61%

Draw 20.83%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 62.55%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.61%