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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 4am UK
EDION Stadium
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Hiroshima
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Arai (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Felipe (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
65.74% (-0.104 -0.1) 20.42% (0.119 0.12) 13.83% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.524 -0.52)47.26% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.489 -0.49)69.49% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (-0.194 -0.19)13.54% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (-0.387 -0.39)40.62% (0.388 0.39)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.345 -0.34)45.5% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.273 -0.27)81.33% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65.74%
    Gamba Osaka 13.83%
    Draw 20.42%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 12.31% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 65.74%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.42%
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Urawa
Friday, February 23 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League


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