Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Machida Zelvia
45.01% ( 1.06)	23.75% ( -0.75)	31.23% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

3.33)

41.2% (

-3.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

3.3)

63.6% (

-3.3)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

1.8)

18.57% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16% (

2.95)

49.84% (

-2.96)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

1.43)

25.49% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

1.92)

60.34% (

-1.92)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 45.01%

Machida Zelvia 31.23%

Draw 23.75%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Machida Zelvia
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.76) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.5% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.75) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.23%