With vital ground at stake in the race for the J1 League title, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Gamba and Machida at Panasonic Stadium on Sunday. The Black and Blues are enjoying a marvellous unbeaten run that we feel will continue this weekend, but Zelvia should be good enough to snatch a point in Suita. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
36.3% ( -0.01)	27.65% ( 0.03)	36.05% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.88% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.08% (

-0.13)

56.92% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.17% (

-0.11)

77.83% (

0.11)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

-0.07)

30.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

-0.09)

66.13% (

0.09)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

-0.08)

30.17% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

-0.1)

66.32% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 36.29%

Machida Zelvia 36.05%

Draw 27.64%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.29%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.05%