Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.