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J1 League | Gameweek 2
Nov 21, 2020 at 8am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Mateus (11'), Abe (51'), Xavier (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saka (17')
Tachi (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawShonan Bellmare
57.35%23.8%18.86%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9%74.11%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92%18.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99%49.01%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97%42.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.47%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 57.34%
    Shonan Bellmare 18.86%
    Draw 23.79%
Nagoya GrampusDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 5.49%
4-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.86%


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