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J1 League | Gameweek 14
Nov 15, 2020 at 10am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
FC Tokyo

Mateus (90+5' pen.)
Xavier (29'), Maeda (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morishige (36')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
44.23%26.98%28.78%
Both teams to score 48.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94%56.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86%77.13%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07%59.92%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 44.23%
    FC Tokyo 28.78%
    Draw 26.98%
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.23%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 28.78%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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