Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.