SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 57.27% | 23.79% | 18.94% |
| Both teams to score 47.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% | 52.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% | 73.97% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% | 18.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.04% | 48.96% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% | 41.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.94% |
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