Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.