Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
