Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.