Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.