Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
