SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 31.71% | 28.81% | 39.47% |
| Both teams to score 44.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.42% | 61.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.57% | 81.42% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.72% | 72.27% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% | 30.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 12.85% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.4% Total : 39.46% |
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