Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.
