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Wednesday, December 25
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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 18, 2021 at 11am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 1
Vegalta Sendai

Thiago (19'), Fujimoto (52')
Matsuoka (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardoso (60')
Cardoso (27'), Appiah Tawiah (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Vegalta Sendai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawVegalta Sendai
39.59%28.16%32.25%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79%59.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.62%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83%29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9%65.1%
Vegalta Sendai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 39.58%
    Vegalta Sendai 32.24%
    Draw 28.15%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawVegalta Sendai
1-0 @ 12.16%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.24%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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