SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 24.23% | 28.57% | 47.2% |
| Both teams to score 41.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.21% | 63.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.97% | 83.03% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.71% | 79.29% |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.05% Total : 24.23% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 15.23% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-3 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.39% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.7% Total : 47.19% |
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