Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Shirasaki (58'), Dudu (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thiago (65')
Hara (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
46.08%	27.18%	26.74%

Both teams to score 46.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.23%

57.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.49%

78.51%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28%

59.72%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66%

37.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88%

74.12%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 46.07%

Shimizu S-Pulse 26.74%

Draw 27.17%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.74%