Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.