Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.