Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.05) 
