Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
36.2% ( 0.02)	29.94% ( 0.04)	33.86% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.25% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.05% (

-0.12)

64.95% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.14% (

-0.08)

83.86% (

0.08)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

-0.05)

34.2% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.11% (

-0.05)

70.89% (

0.05)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

-0.11)

35.79% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

-0.11)

72.57% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 36.2%

Shonan Bellmare 33.85%

Draw 29.94%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.2%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.94%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.85%