Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
42.56% ( 0.17)	27.52% ( -0.03)	29.92% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

0.05)

57.57% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

0.04)

78.35% (

-0.04)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.11)

26.75% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.14)

62.02% (

-0.15)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

-0.08)

34.7% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-0.09)

71.43% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 42.55%

Shonan Bellmare 29.92%

Draw 27.52%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.55%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.92%