Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.