Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
27.97% ( 0.01)	23.93% ( 0.01)	48.09% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-0.02)

43.91% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0.02)

66.3% (

0.02)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

-0.01)

29.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.01)

64.94% (

0.01)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.01)

18.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46% (

-0.02)

49.54% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 27.97%

Kawasaki Frontale 48.09%

Draw 23.93%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.09%