SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
53.8% ( 0.48) | 22.5% ( -0.05) | 23.69% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.24) | 41.09% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.25) | 63.49% ( 0.24) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.07) | 15.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.03% ( 0.14) | 43.96% ( -0.15) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.5) | 30.86% ( 0.49) |
