SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
53.8% ( 0.48) | 22.5% ( -0.05) | 23.69% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.24) | 41.09% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.25) | 63.49% ( 0.24) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.07) | 15.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( 0.14) | 43.96% ( -0.15) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.5) | 30.86% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( -0.59) | 67.14% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.69% |
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