J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | FC Tokyo |
28.98% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 43.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.02) |
| 41.47% ( 0.01) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
| 20.89% ( 0) | 79.1% ( -0) |
| 64.06% ( 0.04) | 35.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.04) | 72.71% ( -0.04) |
| 73.21% ( -0.02) | 26.79% ( 0.02) |
