J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 16, 2024 at 10.45am UK
Toyota Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
44.2% ( 0.16) | 26.63% ( -0.04) | 29.16% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( 0.06) |
| 45.45% ( 0.11) | 54.54% ( -0.11) |
| 24.1% ( 0.09) | 75.89% ( -0.09) |
| 75.46% ( 0.12) | 24.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.99% ( 0.18) | 59.01% ( -0.18) |
| 66.32% ( -0.04) | 33.67% ( 0.03) |
