Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.