SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
45.85% ( 0.09) | 25.89% ( -0.01) | 28.26% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( 0) | 52.07% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( 0) | 73.8% ( -0) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.05) | 22.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( 0.07) | 56.32% ( -0.06) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( -0.06) | 33.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.07) | 69.65% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.26% |
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