Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
56.12% ( 0.06) | 22.85% ( -0.02) | 21.03% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( 0.01) | 45.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( 0.01) | 68.09% ( -0.01) |
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( 0.02) | 16.13% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.44% ( 0.04) | 45.55% ( -0.04) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% ( -0.04) | 35.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.33% ( -0.04) | 72.66% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.03% |
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