Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
18.17% ( -0.62)	21.99% ( -0.19)	59.84% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 51.75% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0.12)

46.09% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61% (

-0.11)

68.39% (

0.11)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.88% (

-0.77)

39.11% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

-0.73)

75.83% (

0.72)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.22)

15% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

0.42)

43.45% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 18.17%

Urawa Red Diamonds 59.82%

Draw 21.99%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.55% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.82%